NEW YORK, October 17, 2015 – Fans will pour into Madison Square Garden in New York City on Saturday night hoping to see their evening cut short by powerhouse boxing action.
Boxing is one of the rare sports where fans don’t mind seeing competition cut short, as long as they get to see power punching leading up to spectacular knockout victories. Thousands of people in the Garden and hundreds of thousands (promoters hope) watching on HBO PPV are counting on all of the above from middleweights Gennady “Triple G” Golovkin (33-0, 30 KOs) and David Lemieux (34-2, 31 KOs), as well as flyweights Roman “Chocolatito” Gonzalez (43-0, 37 KOs) and Brian “Hawaiian Punch” Viloria (36-4, 22 KOs).
Do the math and you’ll understand why fans are excited about this event. The four fighters have 120 knockout victories among them and five championship belts. All four are current or former champions. Two of the four, Golovkin and Gonzalez, are positioned at the very top of the pound for pound best list.
As skilled as all four of these competitors are, there will be two winners and two losers at the end of the evening, no matter how long or short it may be. Our predictions are based on several keys to these fights.
Punching power is a given with all four boxers. Of the four, Golovkin punches the hardest. He punches with accuracy and with variety. There are many weapons in Triple G’s arsenal. He is equally as likely to take his opponent out with a body shot the strength of a Taser as a left hook to the top of the head. It makes him dangerous because he is difficult to predict.
Lemieux’s defensive skills will be tested. He is also an offensive minded athlete, and he will be anxious to make a mark early in the fight. Golovkin, too, has promised to come out quickly, and end the fight quickly.
Both men need to temper their aggression despite big promises to the fans, employ some patience, look each other in the eye, and gauge what their opponent has in the tank when the opening bell sounds .
Golovkin’s intensity and ability to cut off the ring will frustrate Lemieux. He cannot allow it to force mistakes, or cause him to throw caution to the wind, or he will say good night. While Golovkin is the heavy favorite because of his killer instinct for dishing out punishment, he cannot underestimate the effect of being hit hard by Lemieux, perhaps for the first time in many years. He has shown that he’s willing to eat a punch to land a punch, but he cannot dismiss Lemieux until he’s tested him a bit.
But when he does, it will be all systems go and the “Mexican Style” should emerge. After a few rounds, we predict Golovkin will take control by demonstrating how smart he is as well as how strong, and end the fight with a TKO in the fifth round.
American Brian Viloria would love to be the fly in the flyweight ointment, and if there is to be an upset, Viloria has the power and experience to do it. He has increased his punching power with experience, and has trained exceptionally hard for this fight. During an interview with Viloria, he said his focus is so great he has dreams where the fight is taking place; he sees himself winning and wakes up, sure that the fight was real.
This sort of visualization can be a powerful tool. But there is a reason Roman “Chocolatito” Gonzalez inspires so many admirers. Gonzalez is a pressure fighter and he won’t give Viloria a whole lot of room to move. If he can cut off the ring, and put Viloria where he wants him, his power will be hard to withstand. Both men punch hard, and accurately; it will also take patience and smart ring generalship to win. Viloria has a chance, but it’s an uphill battle. We predict this fight will last longer than the main event, but not go the distance, with Gonzalez prevailing in the tenth round.
Communities Digital News will be ringside and bring you all the action from Madison Square Garden. Follow the latest on Twitter at @CommDigiNews and @PRProSanDiego on Fight Night; watch on HBO PPV starting at 9 p.m. ET/6 p.m. PT.
Gayle Lynn Falkenthal, APR, is President/Owner of the Falcon Valley Group in San Diego, California. She is also a serious boxing fan covering the Sweet Science for Communities. Read more Ringside Seat in Communities Digital News. Follow Gayle on Facebook and on Twitter @PRProSanDiego.
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