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The GOP’s Circus tent – a brokered convention or V.P. pick?

Written By | Mar 1, 2016

WASHINGTON, March 1, 2016 – If you took a bucket of bull manure and tossed into a huge fan, it would be allegorical to the words that are flying over the internet and the networks this week. All of the truth meters and lie-testers are working overtime, while the pollsters roll in the cash to promote any campaign that will hire them.

Our nation is hell-bent on electing the best liar to the highest public office in the land, and there is a narrowing field of candidates who are honing their skills for the home stretch toward November.

The Republican establishment is composed of all of the Republicans who occupy Congress, together with those members of the party who are not elected but pay their bills by doing the party’s grunt work: They organize the circus of deceiving the American voter. The Democratic establishment have their own deception machine, but it is simpler. Pick Hillary or Bernie, and they will all go roaring in that direction.


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With the super delegates already committed to Clinton and the pot of money Hillary has to inundate mass media with ads 24/7, Bernie Sanders has an uphill battle. Many things can happen in the meantime that can upset the Clinton campaign. The latest of Hillary’s unsecured E-mails have been released, and it has been reported that there were about 2,000 that were classified.

The FBI is breathing hot on her trail, and indictments are pending. In the history of our country, no presidential candidate under indictment for crimes against the United States has made it to Inauguration Day. Michael Bloomberg stands in the wings to pick up where Hillary falters, while the youth vote may carry Bernie to the Democratic convention.

The voters will revolt if Mitch McConnell, the Senate Majority Leader, wants to play politics at the Republican Convention and try to broker America toward his pick for our next president, but that eventuality is becoming almost a certainty. There is a common perception that if Americans vote for who they want to win the election, and a majority of voters select that candidate, that person will be the winner. In the real world, it doesn’t always come out that way.

The shenanigans will begin in earnest during the Republican National Convention, scheduled for July 18-21 in Cleveland, Ohio.  If Trump remains in the lead, and all indications are that he will defy the establishment and pollsters and be the front-runner approaching the convention, the fun begins. In 2016, 2,472 delegates will attend the Republican National Convention. To select the presidential nominee the winner must carry 1,237—half of the total, plus one.

The card-carrying Republicans will be surrounded by the press and many protesters, who will be fenced in like pound puppies and surrounded by armed guards. The press will be allowed to mingle. The protesters may be offered tear gas or a shower by fire hose, but they may not mingle, unless they would like to mingle for a few days in a jail cell.

The most interesting aspect of a Trump nomination may be the choice of his running-mate. The only Republican candidates who Trump has refrained from insulting, attacking and counter-attacking are Dr. Ben Carson and Ohio governor John Kasich.

Logic would dictate that if Kasich can pull off a win or close second to Trump in the Ohio primary, he would be a front-runner for VP. Carson only has a chance if the voters continue their rage at the political establishment and the clouds on the horizon open for two outsiders.

Rubio and Cruz have attacked the Donald, and he doesn’t like that one little bit. He may look elsewhere if he makes it to the convention.

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The Republicans have yet to realize they need to stop picking at each other and attend to the purpose of winning. Instead, we are subjected to how much they sweat, and how much the size of their hands might reflect on their manhood.

Super Tuesday may eventually whittle it down a bit, but Rubio won’t quit until after Florida’s primary, and Kasich won’t quit until Ohio decides who they want, and we all have tickets to the circus.

At the moment, we are hurtling toward a brokered convention in July. The logistics of a brokered convention are unpredictable, and CNN, FOX and CNBC will be mere spectators. There will be no exit polls or statistical charts until they begin voting, and it won’t be over until they reach that magic number. The viewers at home will be treated to long-winded speeches and views of middle-aged people dressed in geeky outfits in red, white, and blue.

That means that we are headed for a showdown between the Republican establishment and Donald Trump, and the only salve he can put on that wound will be to pick a running-mate who is acceptable to the people who will nominate him. There will be a foray of back-room dealing, back-stabbing, and treachery, but by the end of the three-day convention, the Republicans will have their candidate. He can propose a running-mate, but when you are brokering the art of the deal, you accede to the will of those who control your destiny.

Welcome to the circus. Tickets, please.

Mark Becker

Mark E. Becker, Esq. is a mediator and problem-solver resolving more than 5,000 disputes over a career spanning over thirty years with the attitude that all disputes can be settled. An author, Becker's column will focus on resolving our nation’s most urgent issues, some old, but mostly new from outside of the Beltway in the Real America, where most of us live. Learn more about Mark at:, and connect with him on Facebook, Google+, Linkedin, and Twitter (@Markbeckerwrite). To order his books, go to his website or to