WASHINGTON, November 4, 2014 — We are about three weeks away from the imposed deadline to reach a deal with Iran to halt their nuclear program. Although no deal seems eminent, Iranians recently took to the streets to celebrate the takeover of the US embassy in 1979. This demonstration looks to be an indication that a deal on nuclear policy will not be made by the deadline. Or if a deal is made, it will favor Iran and not the rest of the world.
Most societies in the Middle East and in the Western world, have reason to fear if Iran gains the capability to produce a nuclear weapon. The Jerusalem Post reports that former high ranking Iranian diplomat Mohammed Razza Hidari said that Iran is less than a year away from possessing the capability to make a nuclear bomb. He further said that Iran will use the weapon against Israel or any other enemy state.
The recent celebration came 35 years after Iranian militants took over the U.S. Embassy in Tehran. During the crisis, 52 Americans were held hostage for 444 days. This action occurred while Jimmy Carter was President and ended when Ronald Reagan was sworn into office. In April 1980, Carter tried to free the hostages using Operation Eagle Claw which failed miserably and resulted in the death of eight American servicemen and the loss of two American aircraft.
If no deal is reached by November 24, it appears that Iran will move forward with its nuclear program, especially since most of the harmful sanctions against Iran have been lifted. While the sanctions could be re-imposed, there is some doubt as to whether that would happen and whether any new sanctions will be too late.
The deal was supposed to be completed by July 24, but was extended for another four months, until after the US election. There is some indication that the Obama administration is willing to make a deal with Iran that will allow Iran to move forward with the development of nuclear power. Iran claims this nuclear power will be used for peaceful purposes, primarily to generate nuclear energy and will not be used to make bombs. Iran claims it has a right to do this. Most observers in the West simply do not believe them.
In November 2013, Secretary of State John Kerry announced that Western powers had reached a preliminary deal with Iran. President Obama went on national television and spoke about a six month deal, which expired on July 24, that relaxed sanctions, created more apparent transparency and includes “substantial limitations that will help prevent Iran from creating a nuclear weapon.”
Isreali Intellence Minister Yubai Steinitz had a different view. “This agreement is still bad and will make it more difficult than before to achieve an appropriate solution in the future,” he said.
Last week, The Washington Post reported that talks toward an agreement before November 24, have stalled. Iran, they reported, will not accept any “backwards steps” on its nuclear program. Iran is “repudiating any deal that would acceptable to the West.”
The world cannot allow Iran to get nuclear weapons. Iran has stated that they will use them and, judging from the chants in the streets, US, UK and Israel look like prime targets especially if they can acquire the capability to shoot that far.
The Obama Administration has missed a couple of opportunities to avoid this crisis, going back to 2009-10, when the United States decided not to adequately support the pro-democracy protesters in Iran. Obama also relaxed sanctions too soon. They were just becoming serious problems for Iran when the agreement last year took the pressure off.
Nuclear weapons in the hands of irrational people who want to destroy complete countries is a very serious problem. This needs to be addressed before a real crisis develops.