CHARLOTTE, NC: In the early days of 60 Minutes there was a segment called “Point/Counterpoint” where a liberal would square off against a conservative and debate both sides of an issue. Recently, whether by accident or coincidence, Hot Air published two commentaries about why or why not there will be a President Trump 2020.
Politics is always full of surprises, but like death and taxes, it’s a sure bet that within 24 hours after midterm elections, the media will already be speculating about who the candidates for the next presidential campaign will be. This year was no exception.
Fasten your seatbelts, because if you thought all the political mumbo-jumbo ended last Tuesday, that was really only the beginning.
The Presidential debate begins in earnest
On the pro side for Trump, David Graham says the media, for all of its negativity against the president, is a benefit. Graham notes that conservative media has grown considerably over the past 30 years, and, if nothing else, has been a Pandora’s Box in exposing journalistic bias.
As Graham sees it,
“The right-wing press has grown in…the Trump era, becoming a servant not so much of conservatism as of Trump himself.”
According to Graham, former Nixon aide, John Dean, claims President Nixon “would have survived Watergate if Fox News had existed to spin alternative narratives.”
While that might or might not have been true, the biggest things pundits at this stage are overlooking are the amount of time and number of variables between now and 2020.
The Politics – Football Metaphor
Professional football offers a good metaphor. In a close NFL game, it’s almost a sure thing if a team scores to take the lead late in the game with too much time on the clock, their opponent will march down the field and kick a field goal or score a touchdown to win it. It happens so often that it’s almost a guaranteed outcome.
Politics is no different. Too many factors cloud the issues of the day. For example, for the past two years, the media has been probing Trump about negotiations with the Russians during the last campaign.
Why is Broward County and Flordia getting a pass?
Question: Why isn’t someone making similar challenges in the state of Florida following this election? There is certainly plenty of mischiefs there to explore.
Is it because Trump stands to lose in Florida so there is no need to follow-up and investigate corruption in the Sunshine State?
Contemporary media lives in the same mud-hole as Congress, used car salesmen, and attorneys. The public doesn’t trust them. The problem is that Americans are so divided these days that it will take more than negative feelings against the press to swing the election two years from now.
On the other side of the ledger, Josh Kraushaar believes that Trump should be concerned about his chances in 2020 because “upper-middle-class voters are drifting away from the GOP.” Will this block of voters, reacting to the Obama years, be there for President Trump 2020?
Warns Kraushaar, to ignore that trend will prove to be a disaster for Trump next time around.
Kraushaar points out that Republicans are already wringing their hands about the possibility of losing important votes in suburban Milwaukee because historically it has been known for Republican strength combined with heavy turnout.
As recounts continue and the red/blue map morphs into a national picture that finally comes into focus, Kraushaar states that even if Ohio and Florida remain in Trump’s column, the president will still need to tear down a blue voting block in another Democratic stronghold in order to win.
As previously mentioned, there remain countless other variables before balloting takes place two Novembers from now. First, there are always surprises which could include terrorism, integration, the economy and a host of other issues that will likely pop up in the coming two years.
The Hillary et. al factor
That’s without even mentioning such things as the “Hillary factor” and whether or not she tries to make her third time the presidential charm that has eluded her.
Or what about an outside challenge by someone like Mitt Romney on the Republican side of the aisle?
Perhaps the best thing to do is hibernate for about 20 months before waking up in time to vote. It won’t take long to catch up because the soap opera in Washington never ends.
Polls at this point are meaningless.
In fact, sometimes they aren’t even valid on election day. The point is that we should all step back, take a deep breath and enjoy a good long rest. For 2020 is coming.
About the Author:
Bob Taylor is a veteran writer who has traveled throughout the world. Taylor was an award winning television producer/reporter/anchor before focusing on writing about international events, people and cultures around the globe.
Taylor is founder of The Magellan Travel Club (www.MagellanTravelClub.com)
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President Donald J. Trump signs a Presidential Proclamation
President Donald J. Trump signs an Immigration Proclamation declaring that migrants seeking asylum along the southern border must present themselves lawfully at a port of entry Friday, Nov. 9, 2018, in the Diplomatic Reception Room of the White House. (Official White House Photo by Joyce N. Boghosian)