WASHINGTON, Oct. 10, 2015 – “If you don’t like the answer, don’t ask the question.” That appears to be the attitude of the nation’s top polling organization, Gallup.
Gallup says it will sit out the presidential primary season, citing prohibitive costs and the growing difficulty in polling the public.
According to Cliff Zukin, former president of the American Association for Public Opinion Research, there is an “unsettling trend” in “the rapid declining response rate.”
“When I first started doing telephone surveys in New Jersey in the late 1970s, we considered an 80 percent response rate acceptable, and even then we worried if the 20 percent we missed were different in attitudes and behaviors than the 80 percent we got… By 1997, Pew’s response rate was 36 percent, and the decline has accelerated. By 2014 the response rate has fallen to 8 percent,” wrote Zukin in the New York Times.
As you may recall, Gallup had egg on its face when in 2012 it predicted Mitt Romney would win the presidency over President Obama by one percentage point.
Romney, of course, lost.
“The key to understanding the 2012 election is simple,” wrote Andrew McCarthy in an election post-mortem for National Review. “A huge slice of the electorate stayed home…. The punditocracy – which is more of the ruling class than an eye on the ruling class – has naturally decided that this is because Republicans are not enough like Democrats: They need to play more identity politics (in particular, adopt the Left’s embrace of illegal immigration) in order to be viable. But the story is not about who voted; it is about who didn’t vote. In truth, millions of Americans have decided that Republicans are not a viable alternative because they are already too much like Democrats.”
The truth of McCarthy’s analysis was born out in Speaker of the House John Boehner’s announcement that he will resign his GOP leadership position and seat in Congress because a sizable number of Republican House members refuse to back his deals with Democrats on spending, especially funding President Obama’s executive order policies, which usurp the Constitution’s Article I legislative supremacy of Congress.
While Boehner Republicans busily worked to make the GOP more “like Democrats,” the people are busily – and quietly – making the GOP more like the obstinate House Freedom Caucus.
As Rolling Stone noted,
“Composed of nearly 40 of the most committed ideologues in the House, the Freedom Caucus has a simple mission: to get the GOP leadership to deliver on the extreme, anti-government and social-conservative rhetoric that nearly all Republicans spout to get elected.”
The Campaign for America’s Future, an organization funded by leftist billionaire George Soros, describes the Conservative Caucus as being part of a “slow-moving coup from tea-party hardliners… unable to govern and unwilling to be governed.”
Actually, it’s the constituents of the 40 Republican House members who want “the GOP leadership to deliver” on “anti-government and social-conservative” issues and are “unwilling to be governed,” as Thomas Jefferson penned in the Declaration, without the “consent of the governed.’
That consent, which progressives despise, is what grants Congress its “just powers.”
Today, political pressure groups use focus groups and polls to gauge how far they can push the boundaries of non-consensual governance in pursuit of an authoritarian, progressive agenda.
However, there appears to be a dark conspiracy afoot in the land: Americans are refusing in great numbers to tip off pollsters, the media and Washington’s ruling, bipartisan elites to their thoughts and stratagems.
This growing silent majority – one more interested in political action than talking to Gallup – is taking matters into their own hands.
As the sour statists George Soros and John Boehner can attest.