WASHINGTON, February 28, 2016 – This election cycle has so far been pretty unusual. From the Republican crazies to the Democratic Socialists, it seems that virtually any outcome is possible. If that’s the case here is one crazy outcome that could just possibly happen: the Republicans nominate Mitt Romney and the Democrats nominate Joe Biden.
The Republicans started the nomination process with at least 17 candidates. There were, in fact, so many that when it came time to debate, the group was divided into two separate debates. Finally the field whittled down to five candidates and will likely fall further in the coming week.
Donald Trump is currently the leading candidate and it looks like he will win the nomination. The Republican establishment believes that’s mostly because the non-Trump Republicans are divided among the other candidates. Trump is leading because he is not afraid to say exactly what he believes, something that is appealing to many voters after years of political correctness, and because he is a master at effective marketing.
Many Republicans view Trump as a loose cannon. He hasn’t learned how to be tactful and courteous, and he says things which seem to be ridiculous. Many of his statements lead people to conclude he is a racist or a bigot. Neither of which is merited.
Some people think he is just plain crazy.
Republicans have begun to look at options. At a recent meeting of Republican donors, the attendees apparently decided that if no candidate emerges who can beat Trump, they are prepared to strongly back Mitt Romney as the Republican nominee.
They are prepared to back Romney with enough money to mount an ad campaign that could derail Trump’s bid. That means the GOP could end up with no candidate having a majority. At the resulting brokered convention, they feel Romney could prevail.
So Romney becomes the Republican candidate.
As for the Democrats, after South Carolina, it now appears that Hillary Clinton could win the majority of the rest of the delegates and easily win the nomination. She may however have a serious problem that could derail her bid.
Although she would like to claim that the investigation into her email set-up is a “routine security review,” the FBI has called this a criminal investigation and has allocated up to 150 agents to investigate the emails, Clinton, the Clinton Foundation and Clinton’s aids.
Some agents close to the investigation have hinted that very serious charges could be filed against Clinton as early as next month.
Since she mishandled at least 1,800 classified documents the FBI could recommend an indictment to the Justice Department, who would then decide how to proceed. Because of political reasons, it is difficult to determine exactly what they will do.
No matter what the final conclusion, it will be very bad for Hillary.
If that translates into a loss of confidence and votes for Hillary, it is possible that the super delegates decide not to vote for her and the Democrats end up with a brokered convention. It doesn’t seem realistic to think the Democrats would nominate Bernie Sanders, for the simple reason that he cannot win the votes of the majority of Americans.
The Democrats will remember 1972 when a social candidate, George McGovern ran against a not-so-popular and somewhat untrustworthy Richard Nixon and lost in a landslide. That means the only logical choice for them may be Joe Biden, who, you may recall, regrets not getting into the race in the first place. Had his personnel situation been different he might be running right now.
There is no doubt that the 2016 election for President of the United States is turning into a campaign where it seems anything can happen.
Even an election contest featuring Mitt Romney versus Joe Biden could happen.