NEW JERSEY: Menendez polls are getting weaker. Making this New Jersey Senate race between him and Bob Hugin, which is turning out to be one of the tightest races, a must watch in the 2018 Midterm Elections. When a blue state turns purple, then red it becomes a strong campaign platform for politicians. It provides a new ruling party an incentive to diversify the previous ruling class policies to make a new mark on our political map.
The mainstream press, as it labels itself, have overlooked the polls from the same institutions that they hold in high regard: Quinnipiac poll of voters show Bob Hugin ahead by 5-6 points. Hugin leads by 5 points among Independent voters. He also has a 10 point higher favorable rating among Republicans than Menendez does with Democrats. An October 17, 2018 poll shows Hugin with a 39% favorability, 3 points ahead of Menendez 36% favorability among likely voters.
Polls by the numbers
A recent Gallup poll puts Republican favorability at the highest it has ever been in seven years. Once the economy became the focus, social issues melted away because more had extra money and earned income to spend. Tensions in overall society abated. The opportunity for more, similar improvements is right here. They are right at our New Jersey fingertips.
Overall satisfaction with the government has increased since 2017 by about 10 percent. Thanks to the efforts of the GOP. Republicans have been fast acting on things like the economy and more conservative on things like health care reform and immigration.
According to 2018 Fairligh Dickenson economy poll,
“When it comes to areas where the state fares worse relative to the nation as a whole, look no further than money and roads. Opinions are more decisive on the cost of living, state finances, and road infrastructure. Eighty-five percent believe it’s costlier to live in the Garden State than in other places across the country, 62 percent believe the state’s finances are worse off than those of the nation; and 61 percent say the roads across the Garden State are in worse shape when compared with those nationally.
“Jersey wasn’t always a place of higher prices, inferior roads, and a shaky treasury. That’s an outcome we’ve worked hard at over decades,” said Jenkins. “Even Democrats and Republicans alike agree on how expensive it is to live here, and how bad our roads are, something we don’t see very often in public attitudes.”
Opinion is more divided over the remaining indicators. Around half rate the economy (48%), business climate (49%) and the labor market for job seekers (51%) better than the nation’s, with fewer numbers rating them as worse (39% economy; 32% business climate; 30% labor market for job seekers).”
The Policy Debate October 24 on C-Span
On October 24 at 7:00 pm ET, C-Span will broadcast a New Jersey Senate Debate between Sen. Bob Menendez (D-NJ) and Republican challenger Bob Hugin. The Cook Political Report and Politico are rating this race as “Leans Democratic.” Expected discussions will include a public policy debate on how they intend to frame federal changes that may impact New Jersey’s economic stability.
Infrastructure growth is pivotal for the Garden State to preserve its competitive advantage. As is the preservation of green spaces, the environment, public utility management growth and expanding entrepreneurship in New Jersey.
Transportation is another area that New Jersey needs addressing.
One event can decide how well we progress as a people, how effective we are as a government, and how enriched our lives are. Moreover, will continue to be. Any successful strategy for improving existing outcomes will require change.
The voters are going to elect Hugins because New Jersians are looking for a change in New Jersey.
Trump was a referendum on national values.
The values that are supported by our Constitution and that will continue to uphold the Republic we have. With the Trump Agenda getting the business of America done, the states need to align themselves with that winning agenda.
An agenda that is reducing unemployment while increasing personal income.
One would think any good state would align itself with policies that will enrich the State and the people. It is important that New Jersey voters do not allow the State to regress to less economically viable liberal policies. The voters vote to facilitate the expansion of global and domestic opportunities for trade, financing, and economic prosperity.
Bob Menendez sits on the Transportation committee, and New Jersey roads are a mess. Ask any mechanic in New Jersey ~ Joe, from Bergen
The press ad the polls
For the media, the polls are the only barometer of the race. We only need to think back to 2016 to remember how badly polls can fail to reflect voters. Because voters realize the polls are not accurate, the voter is less likely to be swayed by their results.
One thing all can agree on is that Bob Menendez is not going to remain in office forever.
It’s all about jobs in New Jersey
For many New Jersians issues beyond the economy include infrastructure, health care, fuel standards, and the environment. However, the big issues for voters across the country is jobs. Under Trump policies, the concerns of New Jersey are the concerns of the Federal Government. There is a federal policy in place that is “winning.” Electing Bob Hugin means that Trump policies will continue working in New Jersey. A vote for Bob Menendez means embracing an agenda that is geared solely to derailing the president. Coupling that with anti-expansionary fiscal policies, waste fraud, and abuse, all of which New Jersey voters have had enough of, means the red wave tide is rising.
As more and more state voters recognize Trump’s policies are good for the state, Republicans will hold Congress for the 2018 terms. Despite what the polls, who are proven inaccurate, say. Then in 2020, a red blanket will cover the Legislative, Executive and Judicial branches of our government.
The messaging of polls
Polls can be an accurate way to message media toward the outcome of a political race. They ask voters a direct question that narrows the individuals’ awareness of the issues they are voting on.
However, with the Trump Republican agenda moving America back to prosperity and security, pollsters may not be asking the right questions to an informed voter base. Because they are seeking the answer they want, not the answer that is accurate.
Which may be why the pollsters got the 2016 Presidential election so wrong. Moreover, why SHE lost and HE won.