In the game of nuclear talks, Iran holds the upper hand

John Kerry plays poker with Iran's leaders while they hide aces in the sleeves of their robes, knowing full well the poor hand he holds.

Does Iran have aces up their sleeves while being able to see the poor hand Kerry is playing?
Does Iran have aces up their sleeves while being able to see the poor hand Kerry is playing?

CHARLOTTE, N.C., April 2, 2015 –  Former presidential candidate and conservative political commentator Pat Buchanan believes the current negotiations with Iran are appropriate because he does not “fear” a nuclear Iran. In Buchanan’s eyes, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has been “crying wolf” over Iran for years with nothing concrete to show for it.

Assuming that allowing Iran to possess a nuclear weapon does not have the dire implications many expert analysts fear, what Buchanan fails to see is the domino effect such an agreement could create in an already unstable and volatile region.

Read Also:  Saudi journalist warns about the dangers of a U.S./Iran deal

If Iranians would (hypothetically) not use nuclear weaponry to destroy Israel, despite saying one of their goals for their nuclear program is the destruction of Israel, there is no doubt that ISIS, and others like it, would not hesitate to deploy such a weapon if they had one.

So the question becomes, why give an arsonist matches when there are better alternatives?

Buchanan is correct in his opinion that Israel has been wary of such developments in Iran for a long time. Can we blame Israel when it is an island surrounded by hate, which causes leaders to err on the side of caution?

Netanyahu believes when the pending agreement is reached it “will most likely leave Iran with underground facilities, the nuclear reactor in Arak, advanced centrifuges (and) all those things that were just a few months ago rightly presented to us as not essential to a peaceful nuclear program.”

It wasn’t so very long ago President Barack Obama drew a red line in the sand over Syria’s use of chemical weapons. Obama said not once, but three times, that he would not allow Syria’s use of chemical weapons without a response from the United States.  Then he failed on following through on his promise.

That alone should be an indication to Islamists that the U.S. under the present administration is a paper tiger. By extending the on-going talks in Switzerland, Secretary of State John Kerry’s efforts at diplomacy are little more than a repeat of the Syrian red line policy.

Many critics, even some Democrats, are now saying the only way to regain the upper hand with Iran is for the West to walk out on the talks.

As Netanyahu said in his speech to Congress, “they will be back.”

Is the Israeli prime minister using a smoke and mirrors scare tactic when he states the “breakout time” for Iran to be able to create a viable nuclear weapon would not be years but instead “a year, possibly much less than that” if the current trend in the talks continues? Or is he correct in his assessment?

Read Also:  John Kerry plays “Let’s Make a Deal” with Iran

The Iranian negotiations have been dragging on for years. Why is there a sudden urgency to get something done now? Especially if the Iranians get virtually everything they want. There is simply no logical rationale for such policies.

Meanwhile, the Jerusalem Post reported Tuesday that Col. Aviram Hassan, who is in charge of upper-tier missile defenses in Israel, said that Iran is “a train engine that is not stopping for a moment. It is manufacturing new and advanced ballistic missiles and cruise missiles. It is turning unguided rockets that had an accuracy range of kilometers into weapons that are accurate to within meters.”

According to Hassan, Hezbollah is currently getting an abundance of accurate weapons from Iran.

Speaking at the same conference, Riki Ellison, founder of the U.S. Missile Defense Advocacy Alliance, told the audience despite the continuing tension between Barack Obama and Benjamin Netanyahu, the United States remains “firmly committed to Israel’s security.”

That sounds comforting, but given Obama’s administrative track record there is little precedent for believing Ellison’s words, especially when negotiations to arm Iran with nuclear weapons continued past the arbitrary deadline.

Pat Buchanan could be right, but the consequences may be irretrievable if he is wrong. Barack Obama’s legacy will not be his malicious revamping of the American healthcare system, but rather as the American president who joined the “Axis of Evil.”

Bob Taylor has been traveling the world for more than 30 years as a writer and award winning television producer focusing on international events, people and cultures around the globe.

Taylor is founder of The Magellan Travel Club.

Read more of What in the World and Bob Taylor at Communities Digital News

Follow Bob on Twitter @MrPeabod

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