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Nigel Farage led Brexit Party, Italy’s Matteo Salvini shake up EU elections

Written By | May 21, 2019

WASHINGTON, DC.  Populist, insurgent, Euro-skeptic parties stand to make historic gains in EU elections next week. The Nigel Farage led Brexit Party in the UK, Italy’s Northern League Party led by Matteo Salvini and affiliated parties across Europe are poised win up to 40% of the seats in the new European Parliament. If these numbers hold, this could be a near fatal blow to the Conservative Party in England, a massive victory for populist parties across Europe, and a clear warning shot across the bow to the discredited Brussels EU political order.

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Nigel Farage leads the charge

In the United Kingdom, Nigel Farage’s new Brexit Party has completely upended the political establishment.  The Brexit Party is on course to get twice as many votes as any other party, according to the YouGov – ECFR poll. They lead with 33% of the vote, with the Liberal Democrats placing second with 17%. Labor is in third place with 16%, while the Green Party has 9%. Shockingly, the Tory Conservative party is in 5th place with only 8%  of the vote. Think about that.

Clearly, the Conservative party is about to be decimated in a complete restructuring of the political order in Great Britain. New general elections are a certainty, given the coming fall of the hapless Theresa May government. Nigel Farage is poised to take his Brexit Party into the next General Election in the UK and emerge with a parliamentary majority as Prime Minister in the next year.

A wave of political unrest and change across Europe

The EU elections are a harbinger of the changes to come on the continent. Nigel Farage is an anchor on one side of the English Channel. Matteo Salvini in Italy is emerging as the charismatic spokesman for the populist democratic wave sweeping Europe.

Though the UK will Brexit the EU in the coming years, the new Parliamentary lineup in Brussels signals a sharp turning point. A strong Euro-skeptic populist wing tired of the arrogant diktat from a bureaucratic EU elite is uniting disparate countries across Europe. They will control what may be the largest bloc in the EU Parliament, though that bloc is not a working majority.

Whether it’s the Yellow Vest movement in France; populist parties in Poland, Austria and the Czech Republic resisting a swarming tide of immigrants; or insurgent parties in Greece, Spain, and Portugal drowning in Euro debt, it’s starting to happen. Slowly but steadily, voters throughout Europe are rising up against a globalist establishment guilty of decimating their culture and bankrupting their countries.

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Salvini consolidates his influence in Italy

In Italy, where Matteo Salvini is the deputy Prime Minister, his Northern League Party currently dominates political affairs. Over time, the Northern League easily eclipsed its partner in government, southern Italy’s 5 Star movement. That movement and its leader, Luigi Di Maio, are particularly strong in southern Italy.

5 Star embodies more working class populist and anti-establishment sentiment, demonstrating its leftist and even Communist party roots. Salvini’s Northern League comes across as more urbane, conservative, capitalist. Also, the League takes a harder line on the immigration crisis still raging throughout the EU. The uneasy coalition government both parties built holds together as an alignment of interests, reordering politics in Italy. But the rivalry between the two leaders effectively led Salvini to emerge as the stronger voice.

In current official polls Salvini’s Northern League (LEGA) holds about 31% in the EU elections this week, with 5 Star in second at 22.5%. Together the two parties form a Euro-skeptic majority of 53.5%. The establishment Democrat Party, which represents the discredited old guard of Italian politics, finds itself in third place with 21.5%. Silvio Berlusconi’s Forze Italia, always a factor in Italian politics, is in fourth place with 10.5%.

The rising tide of Salvini’s Northern League

Berlusconi has recently made overtures to Salvini to include his Forze Italia in government, perhaps intending to supplant Di Maio. While unlikely, this maneuver shows how the Northern League and Salvini are coalescing a cohesive populist message as they seek to change the face of Italy and Europe.

Recently, Salvini set his sights on standing up as a major populist influence across Europe, a counterweight to the strident Globalist voices of Macron and Merkel. He will likely emerge from the EU elections as a force to be reckoned with.

He and Di Maio share similar ultimate goals for a prosperous Italy. 5 Star possesses strong leftist roots, while LEGA firmly adheres to a capitalist ideology. But both adhere to strongly anti establishment policies. Theirs is not so much a marriage of convenience as a marriage of necessity. They are certain to continue to work together for the sake of the children. That is, for the future of Italy.

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A stronger Euro-skeptic coalition in Brussels

As a force working together, Salvini and Di Maio will garner over 53% of the vote. By co-opting Berlusconi and incorporating Forze Italia, they may become the voice of 64% of the Italian people. Certainly the functional growing pains and governmental problems of the last year could use more of an insider’s knowledge in government. Berlusconi brings that to the table.

Berlusconi always operated as something of a revolutionary political figure himself. He literally became the Italian Trump. But decades before President Trump. Co-opting establishment figures like Berlusconi to achieve his and his party’s goals is Salvini’s strategy for Italy and the EU. As the defacto leader of the emerging Euro-skeptic bloc in Belgium, he represents a head-on challenge to estalishment figures like Macron and Merkel. He also serves as a rallying figure for populist movements across Europe.

Macron in trouble, the Yellow Vest movement surging

In France, where the Yellow Jacket movement continues to bewilder the Macron Government, Marie Le Pen’s National Party winning 22 seats to Macrons En Marche party winning 21 seats proved a big surprise. Pollsters expect the establishment Republic partyto pick up 12 seats.

One major surprise: a separate Yellow Vest party did not emerge to challenge both Le Pen and Macron’s current dual hold on French politics. Yellow Vest sentiment continues its drift toward Le Pen’s party. The big story however: Out of 74 seats in the EU parliament, Macron will win only 22.

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Across Europe: a Euro-skeptic grumbling about Brussels and Berlin

In Greece, Hungary, Poland and Austria, anti-migration and Euro-skeptic sentiment reached a boiling point a long time ago. Expect large majorities for the governing coalitions in each of those countries to win.

Spain, like most of southern Europe, still finds itself hampered with slow growth, high unemployment, staggering debt, and populist disillusionment with the establishment. An independence movement in Catalonia recently led to a disastrous national election for the establishment Conservative party. The new Socialist government is running neck and neck with a combination of center right, populist and regional Basque and Catalan parties.

Legitimate issues of staggering debt and harsh austerity imposed by the EU on countries throughout Southern Europe loom large as a huge issue. The Euro basically evolved into another version of the Deutche Mark but with a different name. People in all walks of life throughout Europe increasingly find themselves economically stressed by German monetary and banking interests, globalist priorities, unchecked migration. And a sense that there own lives don’t matter in the grand political scheme of things.

Popular Sentiment and a new day for Europe

70% of French citizens think the political system in their home country and at the EU is broken. 62% of people in Greece think so, and in the UK 60% would agree. Italy, Slovakia and Spain line up next on the list. Even in Germany, where Angela Merkel struggles with the last stages of her political decline, 35% think both their government in Germany and the EU government in Brussels are dysfunctional.

Hungary, Poland, and Austria were happy with their own governments. But they also became angry at the EU, largely over the issue of unchecked migration. The upcoming EU Elections may very well demonstrate that anger at the globalist political establishment is reaching a crescendo.

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Nigel Farage and Matteo Salvini: Changing the political face of Europe

Nigel Farage will change the face of Great Britain this week. It’s the first step in a total transformation of the British political landscape. Matteo Salvini stands to unify the Italian peninsula politically, and emerge as the voice of a new, responsible populist movement across Europe.

When populist Euro-skeptic parties control 40% or more of the seats in the new EU parliament. it will be a sign that a new political deal for all of Europe is in the making. The goals: debt relief, growth policies, resolving Brexit, social realignment, reversing unchecked migration. Establishing a new European order based on independent states,  not EU globalist priorities imposed by faceless bureaucrats in Brussels.

The will of the people across Europe is about to be expressed. The results for the EU and the globalist hierarchy around the world, will reverberate in the emerging body politic for decades.

— Headline image: Nigel Farage, courtesy


L.J. Keith

LJ Keith is a non-partisan commentator taking aim at all aspects of governmental domestic and foreign policy and the American socio-political landscape with an eye toward examining the functional realities of the modern age, how they can be understood, and what context to view the changing face of life in America and its place in the world at large.