An inconvenient truth for Al Gore – Global Warming not the threat he claimed

We will need to acknowledge that something is fundamentally wrong with our climate models. A 20-year pause in global warming does not occur in a single modeled scenario.

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Christopher Michel/Flickr

WASHINGTON, July 17, 2017 – While climate and global environmentalism is very important, the politically powerful climate alarmists are still just wrong.  Sort of.

LA Times writer Hugo Martin wrote that June’s air flight cancellations in Phoenix were due to heat, were due to Global Warming:

“A spike in summer temperatures in Phoenix last month forced American Airlines to cancel dozens of flights because some planes used by the carrier’s regional airline could not operate in such extreme heat.

Airlines can expect to face such problems more often because of extreme temperatures caused by global climate change, according to a study from Columbia University.


The study, which appeared Thursday in the journal Climatic Change, estimated that 10% to 30% of fully loaded planes may have to remove fuel, cargo or passengers to fly during the hottest parts of the day or wait for temperatures to drop.”

Mr. Martin did fail to note, while only blaming climate change for the heat, that in the desert, in the summertime, it’s hot.

 

From the Old Farmer’s Almanac:

July 17, 1950

July 16, 2016

Of the hottest places I have ever been, nearly twenty years ago, Phoenix, AZ where it was 110 degrees at 1 am in the morning, is among the top two, preceded only by the Sahara Desert in October of 2010.  But it was a dry heat.


Larsen’s C Ice Shelf breaks away, but no reason to panic


Jim Hansen a NASA Climate Expert had predicted that Global Warming will put Manhattan underwater sometime between 2008 and 2018. But the environment is not cooperating with his doomsday predictions and in fact, over the last few years, the sea level has been dropping around Manhattan Island.

Climate Expert and former Secretary of State John Kerry, he who has traveled over a million air miles as Secretary of State, all in a gas guzzling jet, announced that the Big Apple was sinking among the ill effects of climate change.

In 2009 Al Gore, he of the inconvenient truth said there was a 75 percent chance that the entire Arctic polar ice cap would melt by 2014. That same year,  Murray Wardrop of the Telegraph writes:

“Speaking at the Copenhagen climate change summit, Mr Gore said new computer modelling suggests there is a 75 per cent chance of the entire polar ice cap melting during the summertime by 2014.

However, he faced embarrassment last night after Dr Wieslav Maslowski, the climatologist whose work the prediction was based on, refuted his claims.

Dr. Maslowski, of the Naval Postgraduate School in Monterey, California, told The Times: “It’s unclear to me how this figure was arrived at. I would never try to estimate likelihood at anything as exact as this.”

Note to the world: Mr. Maslowski was right.  Al Gore’s truth proved to be inconvenient. Because, hey, it is still there three years after the former V.P. said it would be gone.


Believers and Non-believers: Our Global Warming Problem


Some IPCC scientists are acknowledging the scientific truth. Hans von Storch, a climate scientist, and professor at the Meteorological Institute at the University of Hamburg, acknowledged the ongoing temperature plateau in 2013 interview with der Spiegel.

von Storch said that “climate change seems to be taking a break,”

“If things continue as they have been, in five years, at the latest, we will need to acknowledge that something is fundamentally wrong with our climate models. A 20-year pause in global warming does not occur in a single modeled scenario. But even today, we are finding it very difficult to reconcile actual temperature trends with our expectations.”

He followed that up with this after being asked what might be wrong with the models:

“There are two conceivable explanations — and neither is very pleasant for us. The first possibility is that less global warming is occurring than expected because of greenhouse gases, especially CO2, have less of an effect than we have assumed. This wouldn’t mean that there is no man-made greenhouse effect, but simply that our effect on climate events is not as great as we have believed. The other possibility is that, in our simulations, we have underestimated how much the climate fluctuates owing to natural causes.”

“So far, no one has been able to provide a compelling answer to why climate change seems to be taking a break,”  said von Storch, saying that the IPCC will have tone down its climate models unless warming quickly and rapidly accelerates

“According to most climate models, we should have seen temperatures rise by around 0.25 degrees Celsius (0.45 degrees Fahrenheit) over the past 10 years. That hasn’t happened. In fact, the increase over the last 15 years was just 0.06 degrees Celsius (0.11 degrees Fahrenheit) — a value very close to zero,” Storch told der Spiegel. “This is a serious scientific problem that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) will have to confront when it presents its next Assessment Report late next year.”

“At my institute, we analyzed how often such a 15-year stagnation in global warming occurred in the simulations. The answer was: in under 2 percent of all the times we ran the simulation. In other words, over 98 percent of forecasts show CO2 emissions as high as we have had in recent years leading to more of a temperature increase,” von Storch explained.

Climate alarmists are now starting to backpedal with James Hansen’s prediction of Manhattan being underwater by 2018 being pushed back some “50 to 150 years” now.

Is climate change real? Hard to say for the non-scientist. Scientists are still predicting our doom due to rising tides and hotter heat. Others claim it is all cyclical and a natural evolution of things.

One thing is certain.  We need to make greater strides to protect our environment, and a lot of that does not start in Paris, or America.

We also have to remember that at one time Colorado was covered with sea water and dinosaurs walked the humid forests. And that the earth changes.

Yes. Colorado, home to the magnificent Rocky Mountains was during the early Paleozoic period, covered by a warm shallow sea. This sea withdrew from the state between the Silurian and early Devonian, as recorded by the rocks and the secrets they hold.

The sea returned during the Carboniferous period and areas not submerged were richly vegetated and inhabited by amphibians that left behind footprints that would later fossilize.

During the Permian, the sea withdrew and alluvial fans and sand dunes spread across the state. Many trace fossils are known from these deposits. Then came the Triassic period, when the area was a richly vegetated coastal plain that was home to dinosaurs.

The Jurassic plated dinosaur Stegosaurus armatus is the Colorado state fossil as well as the state dinosaur of Colorado.

Visitors to Red Rock, Colorado today can see the giant fossil footprints on the side of vertical rocks, proof that the area changed – naturally.

Dinsosaur Ridge fossils on vertical rock

But then we also have to remember, that the dinosaur is now extinct.

 

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