WASHINGTON, December 11, 2017: A previous prediction that Democrats would be shellacked in the mid-term 2018 elections says:
“Since the Democrats refuse to provide solutions but simply have taken an “anything but Trump” position, they have nothing positive to offer.”
Without a positive alternative, they can’t win the 2018 elections.
Democrats’ 2018 Election plan
McClatchy’s Washington Bureau reports that Democrats are ready to promote class warfare. The Dems will say that the GOP is out of touch with mainstream America since they passed a tax cut that favors the rich and gutted a healthcare law that resulted in millions of citizens not having health care coverage.
Already, McClatchy notes, Dems are poll testing the class war message. They are framing the message to say Republicans are responsible for the class wars by instituting policies that favor the upper class at the expense of the lower class.
J.B. Poersch, President of Senate Majority PAC, a group aligned with Senate Democrats says,
“Democrats have a pretty simple message: Republicans have failed to defend working families both in terms of health care and in this awful tax bill. 2018 is about holding them accountable for making the promise.”
In other words, the Dems offer a “not Trump, not Republicans” solution. That negative positioning previously failing them miserably in 2014 and 2016. It will also fail them miserably in the 2018 elections.
By then, the positive results of the tax cut and the positive results of the new health care law will show that the policies of the Republicans are working.
The GOP tax cut really does benefit the middle class.
Although the Democrats and the mainstream media continue to say that the GOP tax cut is a cut for the wealthy and an increase for the middle class, that is simply not true. Almost every middle and low-class income earner will see a reduction in tax rates along with an increase in the standard deduction.
This helps almost 50% of income earners who, in reality, already pay little or no income tax.
The highest income earners get no tax cuts. They will, however, lose big deductions from their chosen housing expense, ending up with higher tax rates. The corporate tax rate will fall from 35% to 20%. This benefits anyone who owns stock in any corporation. The wealthy own much of the stock, but so does everyone else who has put any money into their retirement account. The middles class will be wealthier as a result.
Besides, the main purpose of the corporate tax cut is to create more capital. The increase in capital coupled with the increased profitability of investments due to the lower tax rate will lead to a huge increase in business investment. That expands the economy, so annual economic growth will reach 4% or 5% or perhaps even more. That leads to a greater demand for labor which provides more opportunity at higher wages for well-prepared Americans.
There will be a new health care law before the 2018 elections
The current Affordable Care Act (ACA) is failing. The failure is due to designing a system whose design was to benefit the bottom 15% of income earners at the expense of everyone else. It is also failing because it forces people to make a purchase they simply do not want to make.
Because a complete meltdown of the ACA is imminent, a new law will have to be passed. Whether it is a complete repeal and replace or simply a significant modification, the new law, which will mostly follow the GOP position rather than the Dems position, will be showing some positive results. By November 2018, the failing health care system will no longer be an issue. Dems will likely say that when the new law is fully in place, millions of American lives will be lost.
If the Dems really want to win in upcoming 2018 elections, they must back off the “anything but Trump” negative message. They must start to offer positive alternatives, like a better tax plan or a better health care plan. Simply promoting a negative message or hoping that they will successfully impeach Trump will not win the 2018 elections, or 2020.
Since a two-party system, that encourages healthy debate, is critical to the welfare of Democracy, let’s hope the Democrats learn to offer positive policies instead of negative rhetoric.