Election 2016: A scandal plagued 2014 takes down Presidential frontrunners

Election 2016: A scandal plagued 2014 takes down Presidential frontrunners

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Democratic Donkey & Republican Elephant - Caricatures by Donkey Hotey for Flickr - http://www.flickr.com/photos/donkeyhotey/
Democratic Donkey & Republican Elephant - Caricatures by Donkey Hotey for Flickr - http://www.flickr.com/photos/donkeyhotey/

WASHINGTON, February 17, 2014 —  Christie the bully, Clinton the political shark, and Biden the crazy uncle in the attic are all media fed images.

In the chess game that is a national election, it is not wise to be too bold and too strong up front. Remember Herman Cain, the first forerunner in 2012 GOP race. He scared his opponents, and so he needed to be taken out.

If history repeats itself, Christie will be the first to be removed from this race on the Republican side.

Christie will be savaged for not knowing about lane closures on the George Washington bridge by a press that believes that President Obama was justifiably unaware that the IRS was targeting conservative groups, that Fast and Furious guns were walking to Mexico, that you could not keep your doctor, or that Benghazi was carried out by al-Qaeda allies.

Let us not forget White House Press Secretary Jay Carney’s uncomfortable press conferences in January defending the Obama Administration and charges made by Obama’s former defense secretary, Bob Gates.

In his book, “Duty: Memoirs of a Secretary at War,” Gates makes some shocking allegations about the most admired man of 2012. More important are his comments about two of the major frontrunners in the upcoming 2016 presidential election.

Gates claims that Biden has “not been right on a single foreign policy decision in four decades.” If voters believe it, this assertion would be detrimental to Biden’s candidacy in the 2016. Unfortunately for Biden, Gates sounds credible on this.

Gates also claims that former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton told President Obama that she only voted against the 2007 Afghan troop surge for political reasons, and that she would be facing him in the Iowa caucuses. This confirms something many people believe to be true, that Hillary Clinton is a political animal who will do what she needs to do to stay in power.

According to Gates, Obama never had his head in the game in Afghanistan. He believed it was not his war to fight, and that we should completely withdraw. The president and vice president were never willing to trust the military commanders and listened to them only because they felt it was expected. The lack of trust and honest communication between the president and the U.S. military have far-reaching and unsettling implications, if true.

Jay Carney said, “when you pick a team of rivals, you do so in part because you expect competing points of view and competing opinions. And that’s very much what the president expects in foreign policy and domestic policy and that’s what he gets. And he’s grateful for it.”

The bar for a scandal in the Obama Administration is set much higher than it is for Chris Christie. The major networks and MSNBC will spend much more time covering Christie than they have any of Obama’s scandals.

To compare the Christie scandal to the various Obama scandals is ludicrous and wrong. Had Christie closed those lanes himself, it would still fall short of the ethical and moral nastiness of employing the IRS as a political weapon, or the dangerously cavalier treatment Obama displays to his military commanders, or the poor judgment in choosing for vice president someone as bizarrely erratic as Joe Biden.

The tall grass gets mowed over first. Don’t be a political frontrunner so far out of a national election. You will only be the first political casualty in the opening skirmishes of the election wars. Scandal sticks more on you, and it is difficult to gain political momentum and donations if your name has a major ongoing scandal attached to it.

Gates’s book rocked Washington for a short while in what we might call “Gatesgate.” The book will do little to hurt Obama, but it will be interesting to see whether he moves to limit the damage to either Clinton or Biden.

Christie, Clinton and Biden can all survive this. The questions raised will dog them in party primaries and in a national election. They all have to do some damage control, though it will be easier for Clinton and Biden. It will be up to the president to show that they are all one big happy family.

This is all a game. As the Sochi Olympics ends, the Electoral Olympics have started a little early this time around, but this week is a taste of some amazing events to come. Anyone who’s viable after going through the primary ringer will have to be tough, and savvy, and relatively clear of scandal.

Though Christie continues to deny any knowledge, it seems some of Christie’s aids and appointees were, allegedly, responsible for shutting down lanes on the George Washington Bridge.  At the time, Ft. Lee found itself in gridlock and life was miserable for Mayor Socolitch. Traffic was terrible, children could not get to school, and EMS responders were delayed in getting to emergency sites.

This was incredibly stupid. It risked — and resulted in — huge political costs for no discernible gain at all, just the satisfaction of petty vindictiveness. In fact, the pettiness of it all is almost as breathtaking as the stupidity. Nothing could come of this except a scandal.

The lane closures could not even be used as leverage to get anything useful from anyone.

Christie comes out of this looking like Rahm Emanuel, though less competent — Emanuel would have buried the bodies and destroyed the email records before it got this far. This blatant strong-arming by Christie’s office owed more to Chicago-style politics than the way it is done on the East Coast.

This will cost the governor in 2016. Chirstie continues to deny any knowledge of the shutdown. Whether he can wipe away the taint of this episode depends on how badly he’s damaged his image as a strong leader, even if he’s held blameless for what happened in Ft. Lee.

It is interesting that scandals concerning three front runners in the race to the White House should all break so early in the year. It is an almost extraordinary coincidence that the leading candidate for 2016 from each party was hit with a scandal at the exact same time.

It speaks volumes of the political climate in Washington and America that the political landscape can be shaken by scandal so quickly. Political conventional wisdom can be upended in a day.

Strategists on both sides should know better. The first candidate out of the gate is usually attacked with the greatest ferocity and savagery that the media can muster. And while neither of these scandals came from a direct attack by the opposing party, the spotlight on Christie, Clinton and Biden has left them vulnerable to the slightest misstep and unpleasant allegations by those who know them.


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